Pakistan’s Industrial Expansion Slows Despite Trade Agreements

Pakistan’s industrial sector showed signs of slowing growth in January 2026, despite recent trade agreements aimed at boosting exports and regional economic ties.

According to the HBL Pakistan Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), the sector’s expansion eased to 51.8, indicating modest growth compared to previous months.

Analysts say the slowdown reflects a combination of rising energy costs, weak new export orders, and lingering operational challenges for manufacturers.

The slowdown comes at a time when Pakistan is actively pursuing trade deals, including agreements with Uzbekistan to increase bilateral trade to $2 billion, and partnerships to expand exports across Europe, the Middle East, and Central Asia.

While these developments are expected to support industrial growth in the medium term, the immediate impact has been limited as businesses adjust to new trade processes and market demands.

Industry experts note that rising energy prices, supply chain disruptions, and limited access to affordable credit continue to pressure manufacturing margins. Export-oriented sectors, particularly textiles, chemicals, and machinery, are most affected by fluctuations in global demand and competitive pricing pressures.

Despite these challenges, there are signs of recovery. Government measures, including reduced electricity tariffs and incentives for industrial production, are helping businesses manage costs.

Analysts stress that sustained growth will depend on improving energy supply, easing access to finance, and ensuring that trade agreements translate into real orders for exporters.

Overall, Pakistan’s industrial expansion remains positive but cautious, highlighting the need for targeted support and strategic policy measures to strengthen manufacturing output and export competitiveness.

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