Pakistan sees a strong chance to grow its hybrid rice exports to China, with the potential market estimated at up to $1.5 billion. Industry leaders say this opportunity comes as China looks for new suppliers of non-Basmati rice after facing issues in trade with India.
Shahzad Ali Malik, founding chairman of the Rice Exporters Association of Pakistan (REAP), notes that Pakistan can fill the gap if it plans carefully. China has raised non-tariff barriers on some Indian rice over concerns about genetically modified organisms. Pakistan produces non-GMO hybrid rice and already grows many Chinese hybrid varieties. The parent seeds often come from China, which helps match quality standards.
Recent figures show rising demand. In the first quarter of 2026, Pakistan’s rice exports to China jumped more than 500 percent to over $45 million, up from about $7 million a year earlier. Pakistan also has surplus stocks of non-Basmati hybrid and IRRI rice that China uses for food processing and reserves. The Pakistan-China Free Trade Agreement and faster CPEC transport routes give Pakistani exporters an edge.
Experts stress the need for a clear joint strategy between government, seed companies, and exporters. Better quality control, food-safety certification, and steady supplies will be essential. New high-yield varieties developed with Chinese partners, such as PU-786, further support growth.
If handled well, this market can raise export earnings, support farmers, and deepen agricultural ties between the two countries.